Ballot measure · Targeting

Tiered precinct strategy for a county healthcare measure.

Built for a Bay Area consultant running a Contra Costa County tax measure. Three-tier precinct prioritization with turnout and demographic overlays, delivered as an interactive dashboard and a PDI-ready export the campaign field operation could use Monday morning.

Race
CCC Measure B · Healthcare tax
Universe
Contra Costa · 1,169 precincts
Cycles analyzed
4 (2020 – 2024)
Engagement type
Paid · single race

Interactive dashboard · Toggle layers and click precincts to explore

How we built the three-tier strategy.

We started with the universe of registered voters across Contra Costa's 1,169 precincts. From there, we layered turnout propensity (modeled from prior off-cycle and primary turnout patterns) with demographic factors known to correlate with support for county healthcare measures — Medi-Cal enrollment, age distribution, and household income.

The three tiers map to field strategy directly: Tier 1 precincts are mobilization (high support, variable turnout — get them out); Tier 2 are persuasion (mixed support, high turnout — needs contact); Tier 3 are skip (low support OR low turnout — don't waste field hours).

Deliverables included the public dashboard you see above for the campaign team to reference, plus a PDI-ready CSV export the field director could upload directly to their canvassing platform.

Want this analysis run on your race?

Most precinct overlap analyses take 1–2 weeks. We start with a 20-minute scoping call to figure out the universe, the deliverable, and whether VoterForce is the right tool for what you're trying to do.

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